According to NASA’s findings, the highest risk asteroid is estimated to have a 3.1% chance of hitting Earth in 2032. In February, the estimated chance was 1.2%, which was later updated to 2.3%, then 2.6%, and now 3.1%. While this is still a small risk, there is a 97% chance it will miss Earth, and an even higher likelihood it won’t hit a city. Only about 3% of Earth’s surface is covered by cities, so the chance of the asteroid hitting a city is approximately 0.09% (or 9 in 10,000). Even if it does come close, we could potentially send a rocket to destroy it before it hits, or use a nuclear bomb to deflect it. The asteroid was first detected in December 2024 in Rio Hurtado, Chile, under the ATLAS project, and it is estimated to be 177 feet in diameter.
RELATED STORIES:
https://bigthink.com/starts-with-a-bang/city-killer-asteroid-yr4-impact-probability/
https://www.space.com/asteroid-2024yt4-impact-risk-drop-nasa
TAKE ACTION:
https://www.facebook.com/groups/233319002904356/posts/598646793038240/
Earth safe from 'city-killer' asteroid 2024 YR4 'That's impact probability zero folks!'
byu/BiggieTwiggy1two3 inspace
